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Elections

Polymarket Predicts Trump Leading Harris by 10 Points in 2024 Election

Of the book, part is Forecasts from Polymarket indicate that in the presidential contest in 2024, former President Donald Trump is already 10 points ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris. In important swing states, Trump is become more and more popular; his public backing of the bitcoin company might potentially be improving his prospects.

According to most recent Polymarket prediction tool data, former President Donald Trump now leads Vice President Kamala Harris a great 10-points in the presidential contest of 2024. The betting odds shifted, which is a significant shift after Harris led in September.

While Harris only has a 45% probability of winning, Trump now stands at 55% in November. In four vital swing states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania—he also leads more. Both significant battlegrounds in the election, Arizona and Georgia have the largest deficits.

Though Trump is now leading, financial guru Jim Cramer just claimed he believes Harris will win the 2024 contest. Online, especially among bitcoin traders who frequently discuss the “inverse Cramer effect,” which is the theory that Cramer’s comments typically are incorrect, many are debating what he said.

Trump’s support of the bitcoin company is unambiguous, and Polymarket is gathering momentum. In September, he made headlines when he bought burgers using Bitcoin during a New York campaign event. This indicated that he aimed to get crypto enthusiasts behind him. Announced before to this event was World Liberty Financial, a distributed finance (DeFi) initiative connected to Trump’s campaign releasing their own native coin.

While some have appreciated Trump’s attempts in cryptocurrencies, others have not. One among those concerned about the DeFi initiative’s potential to increase hackers’ inclination to attack Trump’s campaign is Nic Carter, a journalist. Others, such as 10T Holdings founder Dan Tapiero, believe the outcome of the election will not significantly influence Bitcoin pricing or usage. They believe it might reach $100,000 independent of circumstances.

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