Vice President Kamala Harris is gathering steam in many important swing states as the 2024 U.S. presidential contest approaches. Based to the most recent Polymarket projections, Harris has passed former President Donald Trump in four of six battleground states—including Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
Harris has a 66% likelihood of winning in Michigan, where her strongest advantage is found; Wisconsin comes second at 58%. With 52% and 51% odds respectively, her lead is far smaller in Pennsylvania and Nevada.
Having a 52% likelihood of winning the 2024 election, Harris now has a 5-point edge over Trump, whose chances have decreased to 47%.
Trump’s chances drop after the debate and minimal launch
Originally leading the race well, Trump’s advantage has dropped after the first debate as his performance seemed to be poor. His odds dropped by 3%, but he rebounded soon after the incident and the race came back to a virtual tie.
Furthermore, Trump’s announcement of a token for his World Liberty Financial, distributed finance initiative caused conflicting opinions among crypto aficioners. certain regarded it as a positive step, while others saw it as opportunistic, which reduced support from certain pro-crypto voters.
Harris’s attitude on cryptocurrencies is still unknown
Harris’s campaign has been mute on bitcoin control even while it has unveiled a number of policy ideas like house help and student loan relief. Lack of a clear stance on cryptocurrencies has left investors guessing on how her administration may affect the digital asset market.
While a Harris win may create a more difficult climate for digital assets, market mood points to a Trump presidency maybe increasing crypto values. Notwithstanding this, the campaign is still close as both contenders fight for the allegiance of important voter blocs, including the crypto community.